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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:28 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 2

12:30 PM

1400m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st WHERE'S MY HALO 💡 Saver

2nd MOVIE NIGHT (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

3rd ROYAL BOTANIC

4th ZEPHYR SONG

〰️ Best Bet placed — MOVIE NIGHT (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — WHERE'S MY HALO finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

MOVIE NIGHT (NZ) W $1.75

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

WHERE'S MY HALO P $1.28

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. MOVIE NIGHT (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.75	$1.10	$2.75
8. WHERE'S MY HALO	3	$3.70	$1.28	$4.59
6. ROYAL BOTANIC	5	$10.00	$2.05	$8.65
9. ZEPHYR SONG	7	$8.50	$1.90	$9.63
10. HONEYSUCKLE	6	$20.00	$3.10	$16.04
7. WEE WINN	9	$20.00	$3.00	$16.58
2. MY CARTOUCHE	4	$26.00	$3.50	$17.29
3. OLE'S DIVA	8	$126.00	$6.50	$53.40

Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	56%	85%	34*
2.00–2.49	36%	77%	44*
2.50–3.49	40%	68%	53*
3.50–4.99	28%	50%	36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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