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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:28 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 4

1:40 PM
1200m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st EXIT CLAUSE
2nd DASHING TRIPLE
3rd DON'T DOUBT FRANK
4th GENESIS RUNNER 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — GENESIS RUNNER didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
5
GENESIS RUNNER W $2.40·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. GENESIS RUNNER FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.40 $1.28 $3.57
1. EXIT CLAUSE 1 $2.80 $1.30 $4.64
9. DON'T DOUBT FRANK 12 $7.00 $2.15 $8.25
7. THE AUTUMN CHOICE 7 $9.50 $2.40 $10.16
4. DASHING TRIPLE 2 $26.00 $4.60 $19.60
2. BLUE ZONE (NZ) 11 $26.00 $4.60 $20.60
10. EXHILARATION 10 $34.00 $5.50 $22.75
13. GREASY WHEELS 6 $41.00 $5.75 $25.02
11. REMEMBER THE TIME 3 $51.00 $6.50 $34.74
15. HONOUR AWARD 4 $71.00 $8.00 $36.66
8. TIGHTROPE WALKER 14 $51.00 $6.00 $40.37
3. COLLEGE BOY 8 $91.00 $8.00 $48.72
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 34*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 77% 44*
2.50–3.49 40% 68% 53*
3.50–4.99 28% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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