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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:28 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 8

4:05 PM
1600m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st PICCADERRO 💡 Saver
2nd UNREAL EXPECTATION 📍 Place Pick
3rd MONKHANA (NZ)
4th MURPHILLY
✅ Place bet landed — UNREAL EXPECTATION ran a place
✅ Saver won — PICCADERRO finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
11
UNREAL EXPECTATION P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
PICCADERRO W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. UNREAL EXPECTATION FAV TOP RATED 10 $3.90 $1.55 $5.67
9. MURPHILLY 4 $5.50 $2.00 $6.97
3. MONKHANA (NZ) 5 $6.00 $2.15 $7.27
2. RUSH ATTACK 14 $5.00 $1.85 $7.74
6. PICCADERRO 6 $8.50 $2.45 $9.01
4. ROTHROCK 8 $9.00 $2.50 $10.87
7. BUTTERFLY STYLE 12 $15.00 $3.60 $13.17
14. THEBES 1 $20.00 $4.60 $17.11
5. HUNTER BRED 7 $41.00 $5.75 $26.80
13. OAKFIELD PEEWEE 3 $81.00 $9.00 $39.43
12. ZIZETTE 11 $126.00 $16.00 $75.90
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.90) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 34*
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 44*
2.50–3.49 40% 68% 53*
3.50–4.99 this race 28% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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