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MORNINGTON

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:25 PM
1200m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st DETERMINED ROSE
2nd CENTENARY FLORIN 📍 Place Pick
3rd ADAKITE
4th ALPINE POINT
✅ Place bet landed — CENTENARY FLORIN ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
CENTENARY FLORIN P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
NITRO SONIC W $4.20
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. CENTENARY FLORIN FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.75 $1.30 $3.65
5. NITRO SONIC 3 $4.20 $1.50 $4.80
2. AMBER SMILE 8 $6.00 $1.90 $8.02
1. ALPINE POINT 11 $6.00 $1.90 $8.14
10. DETERMINED ROSE 5 $11.00 $2.70 $12.27
12. TEARS OF HAPPINESS (NZ) 4 $20.00 $4.00 $14.94
6. OPUNAKE 10 $26.00 $4.60 $20.69
11. ADAKITE 12 $34.00 $5.50 $29.37
7. STINGRAY BARB 2 $51.00 $6.00 $42.23
4. MYSTERY TRAIN 1 $91.00 $8.50 $63.53
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 83% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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