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BALLARAT

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 1

12:25 PM
1200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st YUKI
2nd IBERIAN LYNX
3rd ATELLA MISS 💡 Saver
4th FILIGREE SHADOW
❌ Unplaced — FORBIDDEN DESIRE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ATELLA MISS ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
11
FORBIDDEN DESIRE P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
8
ATELLA MISS W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. FORBIDDEN DESIRE FAV TOP RATED 10 $3.30 $1.36 $4.49
9. FILIGREE SHADOW 5 $3.50 $1.38 $4.61
7. YUKI 4 $4.80 $1.65 $6.44
2. IBERIAN LYNX 7 $6.00 $1.80 $7.37
8. ATELLA MISS 11 $9.50 $2.50 $9.00
6. YOU'REMYWONDERWALL 8 $13.00 $3.10 $15.59
3. INARTICULATE 1 $51.00 $6.25 $31.29
10. OH SO VEIN 9 $81.00 $9.00 $34.48
1. DANCE THE FOXTROT 6 $81.00 $8.50 $52.43
4. LE PLUS RAPIDE 3 $151.00 $17.00 $69.77
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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