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BALLARAT

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 4

2:10 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st DRECK ⭐ Best Bet
2nd JUSTIBELLA
3rd MY SHALONA
4th WOLFOFFITROYSTREET 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — DRECK finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
DRECK W $1.55
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
WOLFOFFITROYSTREET P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. DRECK FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.55 $1.09 $2.35
6. WOLFOFFITROYSTREET 3 $4.20 $1.30 $5.72
9. JUSTIBELLA 11 $11.00 $2.25 $9.60
7. CEYLON DIAMOND (NZ) 9 $9.00 $2.05 $10.65
13. TAGLOW 2 $21.00 $3.40 $20.76
10. MY SHALONA 8 $34.00 $4.40 $21.88
4. SEA DANGER 5 $51.00 $5.00 $27.94
8. EL RENO 14 $61.00 $5.50 $31.59
1. BLACK HEX 6 $101.00 $6.50 $42.95
11. TOOMANYSTEPS 13 $126.00 $8.00 $57.08
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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