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MUSWELLBROOK

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:15 PM
1280m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st BREAKOUT
2nd SPLASH OF STEEL 📍 Place Pick
3rd LUKE SKYWALKER
4th BLACKSTONE PLAZA
✅ Place bet landed — SPLASH OF STEEL ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
6
SPLASH OF STEEL W $2.40·P $1.32
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. SPLASH OF STEEL FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.40 $1.32 $3.40
8. BREAKOUT 5 $2.70 $1.36 $3.45
4. MEGA PIXEL 8 $7.50 $2.80 $7.42
3. MAKO (NZ) 7 $7.00 $2.50 $8.04
7. BLACKSTONE PLAZA 3 $13.00 $4.20 $8.70
2. LUKE SKYWALKER 2 $41.00 $7.50 $24.03
Favourite record at MUSWELLBROOK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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