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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:10 PM

Race 1

11:50 AM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FULL OF FUN
2nd MASTER JOHNNY
3rd STABILITY
4th HARD SHELL 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — SHOCAIR (NZ) didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
SHOCAIR (NZ) P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
8
HARD SHELL W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. SHOCAIR (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 5 $3.60 $1.36 $4.33
2. STABILITY 3 $3.80 $1.38 $5.38
1. MASTER JOHNNY 1 $4.40 $1.45 $5.74
8. HARD SHELL 9 $8.00 $2.25 $8.19
4. FULL OF FUN 4 $8.00 $2.25 $9.63
3. THE PROSPECT 8 $8.50 $2.30 $9.69
9. ROOM FOR PUDD (NZ) 6 $23.00 $4.20 $15.86
7. BILLY BOWLEGG 2 $101.00 $9.00 $59.15
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 34*
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 44*
2.50–3.49 40% 68% 53*
3.50–4.99 this race 28% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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