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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:10 PM

Race 6

2:50 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISS CHASTAIN (IRE)
2nd FIERCENESS 💡 Saver
3rd FELIS CHAUS
4th CHEVAL DE BOIS (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — THE CRISTAL didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — FIERCENESS ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
8
THE CRISTAL P $1.50
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
FIERCENESS W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. THE CRISTAL FAV TOP RATED 6 $3.90 $1.50 $5.03
10. FELIS CHAUS 3 $4.60 $1.75 $5.98
7. ELLISMAYNE 12 $5.50 $1.95 $7.00
6. FIERCENESS 10 $10.00 $2.70 $9.93
9. LONGINUS 2 $12.00 $3.30 $11.69
3. DEMMO DERMY 1 $13.00 $3.30 $11.81
2. CHEVAL DE BOIS (NZ) 11 $8.50 $2.40 $13.09
4. CAPTIVATING TYCOON 7 $14.00 $3.40 $15.55
1. MISS CHASTAIN (IRE) 5 $15.00 $3.50 $15.72
11. ALASKA DREAM 4 $101.00 $11.00 $62.37
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.90) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 34*
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 44*
2.50–3.49 40% 68% 53*
3.50–4.99 this race 28% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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