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TOWNSVILLE

R1 12:27 PM R2 1:04 PM R3 1:42 PM R4 2:17 PM R5 2:57 PM R6 3:34 PM R7 4:12 PM R8 4:47 PM

Race 5

2:57 PM
1200m · 13 runners
🏁 Result
1st NOVELA
2nd KIRKALL 💡 Saver
3rd FLY FIFER
4th TO LOVE SOMEBODY
❌ Unplaced — FANCY GARTER didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — KIRKALL ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
FANCY GARTER P $1.65
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
KIRKALL W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. FANCY GARTER FAV TOP RATED 5 $4.00 $1.65 $6.00
13. GERALDINE'S WISH 4 $5.50 $2.05 $6.63
7. TSUNAMI 12 $5.50 $2.00 $7.37
3. LAZENBY 8 $7.00 $2.30 $8.36
1. NOVELA 7 $8.00 $2.40 $9.59
5. KIRKALL 10 $9.50 $2.70 $11.13
4. BETTER BREAKOUT 6 $12.00 $3.30 $12.55
8. HELL OF A TRIP 3 $20.00 $4.40 $17.49
12. WINNING SAGA 2 $61.00 $8.00 $33.58
9. FLY FIFER 13 $51.00 $7.00 $35.88
14. TO LOVE SOMEBODY 1 $91.00 $11.00 $57.62
2. TWIN TURBO 9 $201.00 $20.00 $93.52
15. OUR FOLLY 11 $201.00 $21.00 $94.16
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.00) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 85% 27*
2.00–2.49 50% 67% 30*
2.50–3.49 29% 68% 65
3.50–4.99 this race 29% 54% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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