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BALLARAT

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Race 3

2:00 PM
1400m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st BUCKS NIGHT
2nd ETCHED IN BLUE
3rd LYREBIRD LADY
4th THE BOTANY FROG ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
โŒ Unplaced โ€” MENZIES CREEK didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
MENZIES CREEK W $1.45
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
7
THE BOTANY FROG P $1.65
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. MENZIES CREEK FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.45 $1.09 $2.36
7. THE BOTANY FROG 14 $6.50 $1.65 $7.98
10. LYREBIRD LADY 10 $15.00 $2.70 $12.09
4. LION CITY EXPRESS (NZ) 4 $16.00 $2.75 $14.17
8. APPLE EYES 7 $19.00 $3.30 $14.89
6. MERRY JACK 11 $23.00 $3.60 $17.22
9. FRIEND IN ME 6 $34.00 $4.60 $23.30
2. ETCHED IN BLUE 16 $26.00 $3.80 $24.06
11. TENNESSEE LASS 18 $51.00 $6.00 $28.58
14. BUCKS NIGHT 1 $51.00 $6.00 $34.44
13. EMBODIMENT 12 $151.00 $13.00 $72.89
15. BOOL RUSH 13 $201.00 $17.00 $95.60
Favourite record at BALLARAT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00โ€“2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50โ€“3.49 34% 64% 73
3.50โ€“4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.