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BALLARAT

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Race 5

3:00 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CUMBOOGLE
2nd EL PIBE DE ORO
3rd ORLABENT
4th LAVANDULA 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — LAVANDULA didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
LAVANDULA P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
FOREMMAKATE W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. LAVANDULA FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.60 $1.26 $3.79
2. EL PIBE DE ORO 6 $3.20 $1.28 $4.31
4. FOREMMAKATE 1 $5.00 $1.45 $5.52
8. EL SALTO 10 $8.50 $2.10 $9.09
1. ORLABENT 7 $12.00 $2.45 $11.72
7. CUMBOOGLE 4 $13.00 $2.60 $12.02
9. MUM 'N' ME 9 $61.00 $5.75 $34.79
10. FUGACITY 8 $151.00 $11.00 $62.90
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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