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CANTERBURY

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:20 PM

Race 3

2:00 PM
1250m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st BY NAPOLEAN HILL 📍 Place Pick
2nd HOROLOGIST
3rd DEFENSEMEN
4th ELIO
✅ Place bet — won outright — BY NAPOLEAN HILL finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
BY NAPOLEAN HILL P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
SNITZEL A'LA ROUGE W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BY NAPOLEAN HILL FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.60 $1.30 $3.42
5. ELIO 5 $6.50 $2.10 $6.79
1. DEFENSEMEN 6 $7.50 $2.20 $8.86
8. SNITZEL A'LA ROUGE 4 $9.50 $2.50 $8.88
6. HOROLOGIST 3 $11.00 $2.70 $10.74
12. ZEITGEIST 8 $16.00 $3.60 $13.09
4. BROTHERS IN ARMS 12 $19.00 $3.90 $14.09
9. THE DIPLOMAT (NZ) 7 $21.00 $4.60 $15.92
10. MONCEL 10 $126.00 $15.00 $56.83
13. THE CIRCLE 13 $201.00 $21.00 $72.85
Favourite record at CANTERBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 33% 70% 27*
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 59% 51*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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