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Race 3

2:00 PM
1208m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st TOO TOUGH ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BOURNE LEGACY
3rd MONOLITHIC
4th BOLD JESTER (NZ) 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — TOO TOUGH finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
TOO TOUGH W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
BOLD JESTER (NZ) P $1.55
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. TOO TOUGH FAV TOP RATED 13 $1.90 $1.20 $3.23
1. BOLD JESTER (NZ) 4 $4.80 $1.55 $6.00
13. BOURNE LEGACY 11 $5.50 $1.75 $6.68
9. VIPERSTRIKE 7 $9.00 $2.35 $10.96
10. KARUMBA GIRL 2 $19.00 $3.70 $13.23
2. DIAMOND MILA 9 $23.00 $4.00 $16.77
6. ROYAL STORM 6 $31.00 $4.80 $20.91
5. MONOLITHIC 1 $19.00 $3.60 $21.70
7. THE TORONADO KID 5 $101.00 $8.00 $52.71
12. MISS GOSSIP GIRL 10 $151.00 $15.00 $64.65
11. MERITATEN 8 $151.00 $15.00 $86.47
4. GOSTUMPYGO 3 $201.00 $16.00 $132.27
Favourite record at MOE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 63% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.