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Race 4

2:30 PM
1008m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st BLUE HUMMA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MY BONNIE LASSIE (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd CHAMPAGNE LADIES
4th DON'TTHROWTHETOWEL
✅ Best Bet won — BLUE HUMMA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MY BONNIE LASSIE (NZ) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BLUE HUMMA W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
11
MY BONNIE LASSIE (NZ) P $1.50
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BLUE HUMMA FAV TOP RATED 15 $1.75 $1.14 $2.55
11. MY BONNIE LASSIE (NZ) 7 $5.00 $1.50 $5.47
7. ZWASP 9 $6.00 $1.70 $9.95
5. TAMATOA 2 $14.00 $2.90 $11.78
3. EXCELAOT 12 $23.00 $3.80 $16.59
4. RED STORM 4 $17.00 $3.30 $18.57
9. CHAMPAGNE LADIES 3 $26.00 $4.20 $22.75
2. DON'TTHROWTHETOWEL 11 $34.00 $4.80 $31.19
14. ARU VALLEY 10 $61.00 $6.00 $35.97
15. HARDLY WORKING 1 $201.00 $15.00 $89.46
13. LADY LOPEZ 8 $151.00 $12.00 $99.70
Favourite record at MOE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 63% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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