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CARNARVON

R1 3:07 PM R2 3:47 PM R3 4:20 PM R4 4:50 PM R5 5:20 PM R6 5:55 PM R7 6:25 PM

Race 1

3:07 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st FIGHTING THUNDER
2nd ALL KING'S
3rd COSTA STAR 📍 Place Pick
4th AL'S GAL
✅ Place bet landed — COSTA STAR ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
COSTA STAR P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
GOOD OUTCOME W $18.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. COSTA STAR FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.75 $1.26 $3.63
2. ORDASHUS 2 $2.90 $1.26 $4.46
4. ALL KING'S 6 $3.40 $1.28 $4.50
5. GOOD OUTCOME 8 $18.00 $3.20 $13.16
1. FIGHTING THUNDER 4 $19.00 $3.20 $17.94
9. AL'S GAL 3 $31.00 $4.20 $20.27
3. WILLYABRUP 1 $26.00 $3.90 $21.19
7. PRIZED BENEFIT 9 $61.00 $5.50 $31.52
8. RHAENYA 5 $126.00 $8.00 $56.43
Favourite record at CARNARVON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 41% 59% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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