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IPSWICH

R1 11:43 AM R2 12:18 PM R3 12:53 PM R4 1:28 PM R5 2:03 PM R6 2:38 PM R7 3:17 PM R8 3:53 PM R9 4:30 PM

Race 5

2:03 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st BALANCE THE BOOKS
2nd PETITE PALACE
3rd CINDERSEA 📍 Place Pick
4th SHOT OF WHISKEY (NZ)
✅ Place bet landed — CINDERSEA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
11
CINDERSEA P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
ZOUBABY W $9.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. CINDERSEA FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.30 $3.99
16. BALANCE THE BOOKS 14 $3.90 $1.45 $4.97
6. SHOT OF WHISKEY (NZ) 3 $6.50 $2.05 $7.93
13. SURPRISE HONEY 15 $7.50 $2.20 $9.07
7. ZOUBABY 9 $9.00 $2.35 $10.30
20. PETITE PALACE 12 $13.00 $3.00 $11.28
5. HIDDEN MELODY 18 $26.00 $5.50 $19.85
8. SOCIAL OUTCAST 4 $81.00 $9.50 $45.31
18. ELECTED (IRE) 5 $101.00 $14.00 $47.80
4. MASTER MONTARO 7 $126.00 $16.00 $61.36
15. ZAMBEZI KHAN (NZ) 13 $126.00 $16.00 $62.11
Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 64% 94% 33*
2.00–2.49 40% 88% 42*
2.50–3.49 this race 22% 65% 91
3.50–4.99 32% 55% 56*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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