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RANDWICK

R1 11:00 AM R2 11:35 AM R3 12:10 PM R4 12:45 PM R5 1:20 PM R6 1:55 PM R7 2:30 PM R8 3:05 PM R9 3:45 PM R10 4:25 PM

Race 4

12:45 PM
1300m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Australian Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st CHEEKY SMIRK
2nd FRONT RANK 💡 Saver
3rd SHADY ROAD
4th HELLO CAPTAIN (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — HELLO CAPTAIN (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — FRONT RANK ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
HELLO CAPTAIN (NZ) W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
FRONT RANK P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. HELLO CAPTAIN (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.75 $1.14 $2.82
7. FRONT RANK 11 $5.50 $1.65 $8.00
9. NANDINA 4 $11.00 $2.50 $11.31
3. PIMLICO 9 $13.00 $2.90 $11.98
5. SHADY ROAD 7 $12.00 $2.70 $12.41
2. CHEEKY SMIRK 2 $20.00 $3.80 $14.62
13. LIGHTHOUSE LASS 8 $26.00 $4.75 $18.20
11. ARAPAWA 6 $31.00 $5.25 $18.83
12. CRIMSON WINGS 5 $34.00 $5.25 $20.27
6. MATIMA 3 $34.00 $5.50 $23.58
Favourite record at RANDWICK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 35% 81% 26*
2.50–3.49 39% 70% 57*
3.50–4.99 33% 65% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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