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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:30 PM R3 1:05 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:05 PM

Race 1

11:50 AM

1000m · 9 runners

🏁 Result

1st HOSTWIN KING

2nd ZUNESHA

3rd THYME TO GO ⭐ Best Bet

4th KILLA

〰️ Best Bet placed — THYME TO GO ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

THYME TO GO W $1.85

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

PISTOLEER (NZ) P $1.55

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
14. THYME TO GO FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.85	$1.14	$2.89
15. PISTOLEER (NZ)	8	$5.50	$1.55	$6.72
13. ZUNESHA	7	$7.00	$1.90	$7.00
2. HOSTWIN KING	4	$11.00	$2.35	$10.61
8. ACKNOWLEDGE ME (NZ)	6	$16.00	$3.10	$13.47
3. KILLA	5	$14.00	$2.80	$16.35
10. MONTE SHELL	10	$21.00	$3.60	$16.96
6. SQUADRONS	9	$20.00	$3.50	$17.21
16. PERLA IBERICA	1	$151.00	$12.00	$63.84

Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	50%	70%	30*
2.00–2.49	55%	86%	29*
2.50–3.49	37%	63%	51*
3.50–4.99	38%	62%	29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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