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HOBART

R1 11:03 AM R2 11:35 AM R3 12:07 PM R4 12:42 PM R5 1:17 PM R6 1:52 PM R7 2:30 PM R8 3:10 PM R9 3:50 PM

Race 3

12:07 PM
1200m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st ALPINE RUBY
2nd UP TO TORI
3rd VABUIAGI 💡 Saver
4th FROSTY RUGE
❌ Unplaced — THERMAL MISS didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — VABUIAGI ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
THERMAL MISS P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
VABUIAGI W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. THERMAL MISS FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.50 $1.30 $3.96
9. UP TO TORI 9 $3.70 $1.45 $5.08
10. VABUIAGI 1 $9.50 $2.70 $9.18
12. WHITE STAR SUZIE 11 $8.00 $2.40 $9.22
5. POETIC LIGHT 2 $14.00 $3.50 $14.85
3. CAFFY 5 $18.00 $3.90 $15.82
1. MIDWAY POINT 6 $12.00 $3.20 $16.00
6. TANK GIRL 3 $15.00 $3.60 $16.74
2. ALPINE RUBY 7 $34.00 $5.50 $33.24
4. FROSTY RUGE 12 $91.00 $9.00 $45.31
11. WHEELEWE 4 $101.00 $11.00 $59.17
7. TEA WITH THE QUEEN 10 $201.00 $20.00 $88.99
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 38% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 70% 50*
3.50–4.99 3% 47% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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