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PAKENHAM

R1 1:30 PM R2 2:00 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:00 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:00 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 2

2:00 PM
1400m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st LOTTA CITY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FRANKEL'S WORD
3rd FOX PERIL
4th JENNI BASSETT
✅ Best Bet won — LOTTA CITY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
LOTTA CITY W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
14
SUNSET TRAIL P $1.80
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LOTTA CITY FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.95 $1.20 $2.97
14. SUNSET TRAIL 12 $6.00 $1.80 $7.39
4. JENNI BASSETT 13 $7.50 $2.05 $9.98
3. FOX PERIL 5 $15.00 $3.10 $12.27
13. ACHY BREAKY HEART 8 $16.00 $3.30 $12.45
7. REPRESENTATIVE 16 $12.00 $2.60 $13.39
9. SERAPHINE 3 $26.00 $4.40 $16.31
11. FRANKEL'S WORD 9 $20.00 $3.70 $21.01
1. CHOICE ENCOUNTER 2 $34.00 $4.80 $22.04
12. SHELLFIRE 4 $31.00 $4.80 $27.16
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 62% 79% 47*
2.00–2.49 35% 72% 43*
2.50–3.49 38% 77% 90
3.50–4.99 8% 49% 51*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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