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MACKAY

R1 12:52 PM R2 1:27 PM R3 2:04 PM R4 2:42 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:57 PM R7 4:34 PM

Race 7

4:34 PM
1100m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st OUTBACK ACTION
2nd LEAN EAGLE ⭐ Best Bet
3rd KAI MONDO
4th BOOMING LAD
〰️ Best Bet placed — LEAN EAGLE ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
LEAN EAGLE W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
OBLIGATED P $2.05
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. LEAN EAGLE FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.90 $1.28 $2.90
2. OBLIGATED 8 $4.40 $2.05 $6.05
11. KAI MONDO 4 $8.00 $3.20 $7.86
8. COCHRANE 12 $9.00 $3.40 $10.42
9. OUTBACK ACTION 1 $11.00 $3.80 $10.60
12. UPSTART LEGEND 7 $12.00 $4.20 $10.67
7. BOOMING LAD 2 $16.00 $4.60 $12.78
Favourite record at MACKAY

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 40% 85% 20*
2.50–3.49 35% 76% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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