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BALLARAT

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:25 PM
2100m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st BULL RUN (FR)
2nd KING'S ANCHOR 📍 Place Pick
3rd BAROSSA VALLEY (NZ)
4th LE PLUS RAPIDE
✅ Place bet landed — KING'S ANCHOR ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
4
KING'S ANCHOR W $1.90·P $1.08
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. KING'S ANCHOR FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.90 $1.08 $2.81
2. BULL RUN (FR) 2 $2.60 $1.12 $3.51
1. BAROSSA VALLEY (NZ) 3 $5.50 $1.28 $5.24
5. LAKES ENTRANCE 7 $18.00 $2.40 $12.90
7. LYTTELTON (NZ) 6 $41.00 $3.90 $25.42
8. WET 'N' DRY 1 $91.00 $5.00 $46.84
9. VICTORY BLUES (NZ) 4 $151.00 $6.00 $58.67
6. LE PLUS RAPIDE 5 $151.00 $6.00 $72.63
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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