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BALLARAT

R1 12:25 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:10 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 4

2:10 PM
1500m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st PRINCEOFNOTTINGHAM
2nd COMIC HERO (NZ) 💡 Saver
3rd LETHAL THOUGHTS
4th ULTRA BLUE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — ULTRA BLUE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — COMIC HERO (NZ) ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
ULTRA BLUE P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
COMIC HERO (NZ) W $4.40
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ULTRA BLUE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.50 $1.32 $3.45
4. PRINCEOFNOTTINGHAM 2 $3.70 $1.65 $4.63
2. COMIC HERO (NZ) 3 $4.40 $2.05 $5.09
3. LETHAL THOUGHTS 5 $5.00 $2.30 $5.83
6. GREY SECRET 6 $19.00 $5.00 $14.84
5. BUCKS NIGHT 4 $31.00 $7.00 $16.84
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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