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BEAUDESERT

R1 12:06 PM R2 1:16 PM R3 1:51 PM R4 2:26 PM R5 3:01 PM R6 3:36 PM R7 4:13 PM R8 4:45 PM

Race 1

12:06 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st OCTOBER MANIFESTO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd DIVIL A BIT
3rd ABLESHEEBA 💡 Saver
4th ELLOFABY
✅ Best Bet won — OCTOBER MANIFESTO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ABLESHEEBA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
OCTOBER MANIFESTO W $1.50
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
ABLESHEEBA P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. OCTOBER MANIFESTO FAV TOP RATED 13 $1.50 $1.09 $2.34
5. ABLESHEEBA 5 $5.00 $1.38 $6.25
3. DIVIL A BIT 2 $6.50 $1.50 $7.89
4. WAITING FOR GRAHAM 1 $12.00 $2.35 $10.52
11. MISHPAT 4 $41.00 $5.25 $22.24
2. COLINTON 6 $34.00 $4.50 $22.90
6. MR RACING 16 $31.00 $4.25 $27.62
17. CHARMED CHOICE (NZ) 8 $61.00 $6.00 $36.14
14. ELLOFABY 9 $81.00 $6.75 $38.64
13. SUBTLE HINTS 14 $126.00 $9.50 $86.96
Favourite record at BEAUDESERT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 39% 65% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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