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BALLARAT

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:05 PM R3 1:40 PM R4 2:15 PM R5 2:50 PM R6 3:25 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 2

1:05 PM
1400m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st CREATIVE RIGHTEOUS 💡 Saver
2nd HELLFIRE BAY
3rd LAST SUMMER
4th LIBBY ANN (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — STELLETTA didn't feature
✅ Saver won — CREATIVE RIGHTEOUS finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
11
STELLETTA W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
CREATIVE RIGHTEOUS P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. STELLETTA FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.85 $1.16 $3.09
1. CREATIVE RIGHTEOUS 1 $3.90 $1.34 $4.59
4. HELLFIRE BAY 3 $7.50 $2.05 $7.88
8. LIBBY ANN (NZ) 13 $13.00 $2.80 $10.49
7. LUCKY CRIMSON 12 $16.00 $3.30 $18.59
2. DINO 7 $26.00 $4.20 $20.19
10. STEEL DEFENSE 9 $51.00 $5.75 $32.82
12. STUNNING KITTY 6 $71.00 $6.50 $34.80
13. LIGHT UP THE CITY 2 $51.00 $5.75 $38.64
3. GOD MODE 10 $71.00 $6.50 $43.38
9. OSTRAKA BAY 14 $151.00 $12.00 $73.16
5. LAST SUMMER 11 $201.00 $15.00 $88.97
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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