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BALLARAT

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:05 PM R3 1:40 PM R4 2:15 PM R5 2:50 PM R6 3:25 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 4

2:15 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st TENNESSEE SPIRIT 📍 Place Pick
2nd CACCHIONE
3rd MAKATI
4th POINTS FOR EFFORT
✅ Place bet — won outright — TENNESSEE SPIRIT finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
11
TENNESSEE SPIRIT W $2.40·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. TENNESSEE SPIRIT FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.40 $1.26 $2.53
2. CACCHIONE 7 $3.80 $1.36 $4.82
1. BLACKHILL BOY 8 $12.00 $2.75 $9.76
3. MAKATI 6 $12.00 $2.75 $11.75
4. POINTS FOR EFFORT 11 $14.00 $2.90 $11.97
8. OVERFLIRT 12 $26.00 $4.20 $15.47
9. RED RAIN 2 $34.00 $5.00 $26.02
10. SHES A GOOD CAUSE 1 $101.00 $9.00 $42.79
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 89% 27*
2.00–2.49 this race 55% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 34% 64% 73
3.50–4.99 22% 59% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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