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CAULFIELD

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:25 PM R3 1:00 PM R4 1:35 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:05 PM R9 4:40 PM

Race 1

11:50 AM
1000m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st LUCKY BROOK
2nd EGYPTIAN DANCER
3rd ASTON
4th NEOTROPICAL
❌ Unplaced — FACE THE WILD didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
FACE THE WILD P $1.90
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
ANGELIC RISE W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. FACE THE WILD TOP RATED 4 $4.80 $1.90 $5.86
11. LUCKY BROOK FAV 14 $4.20 $1.75 $6.56
3. ASTON 12 $7.00 $2.40 $8.95
15. PORTINARI 5 $8.50 $2.80 $10.77
6. ANGELIC RISE 3 $10.00 $3.20 $11.18
16. EGYPTIAN DANCER 1 $16.00 $4.20 $12.53
2. PROFUMO 11 $9.50 $3.00 $14.22
1. INVICTO 16 $15.00 $3.90 $16.04
8. NEOTROPICAL 7 $21.00 $5.25 $16.39
7. MIRADOR 10 $18.00 $4.80 $18.86
12. LUMINEER 8 $41.00 $7.50 $35.40
13. OLE AFFAIR 2 $34.00 $6.50 $35.62
Favourite record at CAULFIELD ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.20) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 32% 78% 41*
3.50–4.99 this race 35% 61% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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