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CAULFIELD

R1 11:50 AM R2 12:25 PM R3 1:00 PM R4 1:35 PM R5 2:15 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:05 PM R9 4:40 PM

Race 3

1:00 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st AFTERBERNA
2nd CUSTOM
3rd 5,6
❌ Unplaced — RACE FOR RULE didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
RACE FOR RULE P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
BIOLOGICS W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. RACE FOR RULE FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.65 $1.28 $3.86
2. AFTERBERNA 1 $4.40 $1.55 $5.61
1. CUSTOM 3 $5.50 $1.80 $7.29
7. WRITTEN GLOW 7 $7.00 $2.15 $9.01
3. BIOLOGICS 8 $12.00 $3.00 $10.74
6. OUR JUSTIFY 12 $13.00 $3.20 $11.78
11. ROSANGELA 5 $19.00 $3.90 $14.86
8. GLIDING LIGHTENING 6 $34.00 $5.75 $27.29
4. SKY WATCHER 11 $51.00 $7.00 $31.06
Favourite record at CAULFIELD ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 72% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 78% 41*
3.50–4.99 35% 61% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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