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NEWCASTLE

R1 10:45 AM R2 11:20 AM R3 11:55 AM R4 12:30 PM R5 1:05 PM R6 1:40 PM R7 2:20 PM R8 3:00 PM R9 3:35 PM R10 4:10 PM

Race 4

12:30 PM
1400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FREE AND FAST
2nd TURNING CIRCLE 💡 Saver
3rd ARIZONA LONER
4th FIERCENESS
❌ Unplaced — AETHELWULF didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — TURNING CIRCLE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
AETHELWULF W $1.28
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
15
TURNING CIRCLE P $2.05
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. AETHELWULF FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.28 $1.09 $2.18
15. TURNING CIRCLE 5 $7.50 $2.05 $6.97
5. FREE AND FAST 1 $11.00 $3.00 $8.95
9. ARIZONA LONER 4 $16.00 $3.70 $10.33
8. FIERCENESS 2 $20.00 $4.20 $12.67
13. ROYAL CHIC 12 $31.00 $5.25 $18.01
11. SIMPLY NUTBUSH 10 $31.00 $5.50 $18.13
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.