โ€น All races

NEWCASTLE

R1 10:45 AM R2 11:20 AM R3 11:55 AM R4 12:30 PM R5 1:05 PM R6 1:40 PM R7 2:20 PM R8 3:00 PM R9 3:35 PM R10 4:10 PM

Race 4

12:30 PM
1400m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st FREE AND FAST
2nd TURNING CIRCLE ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd ARIZONA LONER
4th FIERCENESS
โŒ Unplaced โ€” AETHELWULF didn't feature
โœ… Saver placed โ€” TURNING CIRCLE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
AETHELWULF W $1.28
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
15
TURNING CIRCLE P $2.05
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. AETHELWULF FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.28 $1.09 $2.18
15. TURNING CIRCLE 5 $7.50 $2.05 $6.97
5. FREE AND FAST 1 $11.00 $3.00 $8.95
9. ARIZONA LONER 4 $16.00 $3.70 $10.33
8. FIERCENESS 2 $20.00 $4.20 $12.67
13. ROYAL CHIC 12 $31.00 $5.25 $18.01
11. SIMPLY NUTBUSH 10 $31.00 $5.50 $18.13
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50โ€“3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50โ€“4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.