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NEWCASTLE

R1 10:45 AM R2 11:20 AM R3 11:55 AM R4 12:30 PM R5 1:05 PM R6 1:40 PM R7 2:20 PM R8 3:00 PM R9 3:35 PM R10 4:10 PM

Race 7

2:20 PM
1850m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st ALLEGRO MISS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd TEQUISODA 💡 Saver
3rd ROTHROCK
4th MAMMA MIA
✅ Best Bet won — ALLEGRO MISS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — TEQUISODA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
ALLEGRO MISS W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
TEQUISODA P $1.70
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. ALLEGRO MISS FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.80 $1.12 $3.56
5. TEQUISODA 1 $6.50 $1.70 $4.55
9. SUNSOURCE 12 $11.00 $2.30 $6.91
10. BINKOU 5 $12.00 $2.40 $6.98
3. ROTHROCK 10 $13.00 $2.45 $7.23
8. POLO 4 $12.00 $2.40 $7.66
12. MAMMA MIA 11 $15.00 $2.90 $7.97
11. RHINESTONE LAD (NZ) 6 $19.00 $3.30 $10.20
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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