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NEWCASTLE

R1 10:45 AM R2 11:20 AM R3 11:55 AM R4 12:30 PM R5 1:05 PM R6 1:40 PM R7 2:20 PM R8 3:00 PM R9 3:35 PM R10 4:10 PM

Race 8

3:00 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st OAKFIELD NEPTUNE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SPONARS
3rd ROTHO BRO
4th BIANCA MIA 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — OAKFIELD NEPTUNE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
OAKFIELD NEPTUNE W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
BIANCA MIA P $1.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. OAKFIELD NEPTUNE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.85 $1.14 $2.89
10. BIANCA MIA 5 $5.00 $1.45 $6.36
5. SPONARS 10 $6.00 $1.65 $6.68
8. RUN RORY RUN 6 $11.00 $2.35 $10.84
11. SALMA'S STAR 2 $15.00 $3.00 $13.34
1. LIFE COACH 1 $23.00 $3.70 $15.66
6. ROTHO BRO 9 $26.00 $4.00 $19.74
3. TACT 4 $31.00 $4.40 $23.17
12. PEARLS TREASURE 8 $101.00 $8.00 $45.45
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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