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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:57 PM R8 4:33 PM

Race 5

2:40 PM
1000m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st AT HER MERCY 💡 Saver
2nd SEVEN DAYS
3rd MELANITE
4th COSMIC ORDER
❌ Unplaced — VITTOZZI didn't feature
✅ Saver won — AT HER MERCY finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
9
VITTOZZI P $1.32
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
2
AT HER MERCY W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. VITTOZZI FAV TOP RATED 8 $3.40 $1.32 $4.15
6. SEVEN DAYS 2 $3.70 $1.36 $6.32
1. MELANITE 5 $4.80 $1.55 $6.67
2. AT HER MERCY 7 $6.50 $2.00 $7.13
10. KWIRKY SMILE 6 $12.00 $3.00 $9.31
4. COSMIC ORDER 4 $14.00 $3.30 $12.72
5. DIFENSIVO 10 $18.00 $3.90 $14.71
3. FIREWORK 3 $51.00 $6.75 $30.86
7. DECOTA 1 $81.00 $8.00 $41.40
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.40) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 50% 80% 20*
2.50–3.49 this race 17% 58% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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