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TOOWOOMBA

R1 5:00 PM R2 5:30 PM R3 6:00 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 7:00 PM R6 7:30 PM R7 8:00 PM

Race 4

6:30 PM

1000m · 8 runners

📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›

🏁 Result

1st HIDDEN NUGGET

2nd DEEP TIARA

3rd MANPOWER ⭐ Best Bet

4th THUNDERING SOUL 💡 Saver

〰️ Best Bet placed — MANPOWER ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

MANPOWER W $1.75

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

THUNDERING SOUL P $1.16

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
7. MANPOWER FAV TOP RATED	5	$1.75	$1.02	$2.50
1. THUNDERING SOUL	6	$3.50	$1.16	$4.85
6. HIDDEN NUGGET	3	$9.50	$1.85	$9.14
9. STARSARISE	7	$12.00	$2.20	$10.26
5. CHARMED PASSAGE (NZ)	10	$23.00	$3.30	$16.43
2. NORTH OF ELI	2	$26.00	$3.70	$18.17
8. DEEP TIARA	8	$41.00	$4.40	$21.73
3. DEFIANT BOOM	1	$81.00	$6.00	$40.86

Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	45%	82%	22*
2.00–2.49	31%	66%	32*
2.50–3.49	30%	64%	53*
3.50–4.99	23%	50%	26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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