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MOE

R1 12:10 PM R2 12:45 PM R3 1:20 PM R4 1:55 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:05 PM R7 3:40 PM R8 4:20 PM

Race 1

12:10 PM
2447m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st PARROT CLUB
2nd MUNGERANNIE
3rd POOR OL' JOHNY RAY (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
4th HIGHLAND STORM
〰️ Best Bet placed — POOR OL' JOHNY RAY (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
POOR OL' JOHNY RAY (NZ) W $1.20
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
FARASI P $2.10
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. POOR OL' JOHNY RAY (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.20 $1.02 $1.77
6. FARASI 2 $8.00 $2.10 $6.80
2. MUNGERANNIE 5 $10.00 $2.35 $8.67
1. MORTAL PEAK 6 $15.00 $3.25 $10.86
7. HIGHLAND STORM 1 $26.00 $5.00 $20.82
3. PARROT CLUB 3 $34.00 $5.75 $30.14
Favourite record at MOE

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 48% 76% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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