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MOE

R1 12:10 PM R2 12:45 PM R3 1:20 PM R4 1:55 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:05 PM R7 3:40 PM R8 4:20 PM

Race 3

1:20 PM
1217m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st CLARAPATRA
2nd DIAMOND MILA
3rd OH SO VEIN
4th DIVINE PROVENANCE ⭐ Best Bet
Unplaced — DIVINE PROVENANCE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
DIVINE PROVENANCE W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
COME DANCING P $1.50
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. DIVINE PROVENANCE FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.75 $1.07 $2.82
8. COME DANCING 7 $5.50 $1.50 $5.91
5. TYPHOON ALI 8 $5.50 $1.55 $6.60
1. DIAMOND MILA 1 $15.00 $3.10 $12.08
7. CLARAPATRA 6 $23.00 $3.80 $17.45
6. ZWASP 4 $16.00 $3.20 $17.94
12. LIGHTNING JOEY 10 $26.00 $4.00 $22.41
10. KUNAWAR (NZ) 12 $81.00 $8.00 $39.28
11. OH SO VEIN 9 $91.00 $9.50 $41.24
9. GRACEFUL MIST 5 $151.00 $15.00 $51.44
3. MANHATTAN JOE 3 $71.00 $8.00 $64.89
Favourite record at MOE

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 48% 76% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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