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Race 4

1:55 PM
1628m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st OVERPRICED 📍 Place Pick
2nd NGONGOTAHA
3rd A LONG STORY SHORT (NZ)
4th INSIDE JOB (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — OVERPRICED finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
7
OVERPRICED P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
12
SHE'S ASTUNNERARCH W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. OVERPRICED FAV TOP RATED 2 $3.30 $1.34 $4.39
6. NGONGOTAHA 3 $4.40 $1.55 $5.42
12. SHE'S ASTUNNERARCH 12 $5.50 $1.85 $5.54
8. SIGMA BOY 7 $6.00 $1.95 $8.12
13. A LONG STORY SHORT (NZ) 14 $7.50 $2.30 $10.19
2. CRUNCH TIME (NZ) 9 $11.00 $2.80 $13.27
10. CEYLON DIAMOND (NZ) 10 $14.00 $3.50 $15.04
1. ANVIL POINT 11 $41.00 $6.00 $45.11
4. INSIDE JOB (NZ) 6 $81.00 $8.50 $45.76
Favourite record at MOE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 48% 76% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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