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HOBART

R1 11:04 AM R2 11:40 AM R3 12:13 PM R4 12:53 PM R5 1:33 PM R6 2:12 PM R7 2:45 PM R8 3:30 PM R9 4:10 PM

Race 1

11:04 AM
2100m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LYCO RECO 💡 Saver
2nd LAST TREMBLE
3rd NORTHERN CHILD
4th THEM'S THE BREAKS ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — THEM'S THE BREAKS didn't feature
✅ Saver won — LYCO RECO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
THEM'S THE BREAKS W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
LYCO RECO P $1.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. THEM'S THE BREAKS FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.85 $1.06 $2.77
5. LYCO RECO 1 $5.50 $1.45 $5.94
4. LAST TREMBLE 8 $6.00 $1.55 $6.96
2. NORTHERN CHILD 6 $7.00 $1.70 $7.45
8. WHOLESOME (NZ) 4 $8.50 $2.05 $8.86
9. LITTLEMISSALLSORTS 7 $41.00 $5.25 $24.53
7. WET 'N' DRY 3 $71.00 $7.00 $43.68
3. ALPINE DRIFT 2 $126.00 $8.50 $62.71
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 74% 23*
2.50–3.49 37% 70% 46*
3.50–4.99 0% 40% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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