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GRAFTON

R1 11:45 AM R2 12:20 PM R3 1:00 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:16 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:35 PM R8 4:15 PM

Race 3

1:00 PM
1420m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st SWAG ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CLIVE'S GLORY 💡 Saver
3rd NOT SO DUBIOUS
4th SATIN AND CASH
✅ Best Bet won — SWAG finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — CLIVE'S GLORY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
SWAG W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
CLIVE'S GLORY P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. SWAG FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.90 $1.08 $3.48
2. CLIVE'S GLORY 7 $3.30 $1.30 $4.54
3. NEED FOR SPIETH 6 $13.00 $2.90 $9.93
5. RUSSIANTOTHEPOST 5 $11.00 $2.60 $10.28
4. PERMISSION DENIED 10 $13.00 $2.90 $12.24
6. SATIN AND CASH 11 $21.00 $4.00 $15.45
7. RUPESTRIS (GB) 8 $26.00 $4.40 $18.94
11. NO WOMAN NO CRY 2 $41.00 $5.75 $30.05
8. VIRGINIA BREEZES 9 $71.00 $7.25 $38.41
10. NOT SO DUBIOUS 1 $91.00 $8.00 $47.95
9. CRYSTAL GARDEN 3 $101.00 $8.50 $65.18
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 22% 74% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.