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GRAFTON

R1 11:45 AM R2 12:20 PM R3 1:00 PM R4 1:40 PM R5 2:16 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:35 PM R8 4:15 PM

Race 5

2:16 PM
2230m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st ROCK THE MACHINE
2nd RING AHOY
3rd BRILLIANT KNIGHT 💡 Saver
4th BONFIDELITY (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — SPENZALOT didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — BRILLIANT KNIGHT ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
SPENZALOT W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
BRILLIANT KNIGHT P $1.70
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. SPENZALOT FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.90 $1.10 $3.12
6. BRILLIANT KNIGHT 3 $5.50 $1.70 $6.78
3. RING AHOY 7 $7.50 $2.10 $8.51
1. DIABLO BOLT 10 $7.50 $2.10 $9.45
7. VERMEER 1 $12.00 $2.90 $11.78
5. BONFIDELITY (NZ) 11 $19.00 $4.00 $16.21
10. BRIGHT THE SUN 12 $21.00 $4.20 $18.03
9. ROCK THE MACHINE 9 $34.00 $5.50 $23.04
12. OTTOMAN EMPIRE (NZ) 2 $61.00 $7.00 $34.89
11. CASTEL TROSINO (USA) 4 $71.00 $7.50 $44.68
13. GOT AN INSPIRATION (NZ) 6 $201.00 $15.00 $81.44
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 22% 74% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.