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PAKENHAM

R1 12:35 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:45 PM R4 2:20 PM R5 2:55 PM R6 3:30 PM R7 4:10 PM R8 4:50 PM R9 5:20 PM

Race 8

4:50 PM
1000m · 12 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st SHOCAP
2nd STORMBOURG
3rd LONGREACH DROVER
4th MANHATTAN THUNDER 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — MANHATTAN THUNDER didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
MANHATTAN THUNDER P $1.85
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
10
SMASH BLUE W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. MANHATTAN THUNDER FAV TOP RATED 4 $4.80 $1.85 $6.56
4. STORMBOURG 9 $6.00 $2.15 $7.55
10. SMASH BLUE 3 $7.50 $2.45 $8.54
9. SHOCAP 1 $7.00 $2.40 $8.85
1. BOLD PRINT 17 $8.50 $2.70 $10.16
5. IMMORTAL TRIUMPH 5 $8.00 $2.60 $10.78
3. RUBY AVENUE 7 $10.00 $3.10 $11.75
15. CHEEKY CONTIKI 12 $21.00 $4.60 $18.23
12. TITAHI BAY 2 $18.00 $4.50 $19.49
14. LONGREACH DROVER 18 $26.00 $5.75 $20.80
11. INVINCIBLE AMOUR 10 $51.00 $7.25 $36.11
7. WILF 11 $41.00 $6.75 $37.30
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.80) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 77% 43*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 38% 77% 78
3.50–4.99 this race 10% 48% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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