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BALLARAT

R1 1:10 PM R2 1:45 PM R3 2:20 PM R4 2:55 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:05 PM R7 4:45 PM

Race 4

2:55 PM
1000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st OCTRAIN
2nd DEL LIRENZA ⭐ Best Bet
3rd FUGACITY
4th TENNESSEE SPIRIT 💡 Saver
〰️ Best Bet placed — DEL LIRENZA ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
DEL LIRENZA W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
TENNESSEE SPIRIT P $1.28
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. DEL LIRENZA FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.70 $1.03 $2.55
4. TENNESSEE SPIRIT 9 $4.20 $1.28 $5.12
3. OCTRAIN 3 $6.00 $1.45 $7.29
7. SPINHOF 5 $17.00 $3.00 $13.80
2. BRING THE THUNDER 2 $16.00 $2.80 $14.07
9. FUGACITY 7 $21.00 $3.40 $16.96
5. BELMASAI 1 $23.00 $3.70 $17.20
8. FLYING D'AMORE 6 $151.00 $9.00 $68.11
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 38% 64% 53*
3.50–4.99 31% 69% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.