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DARWIN

R1 2:39 PM R2 3:14 PM R3 3:49 PM R4 4:24 PM R5 4:59 PM R6 5:37 PM

Race 2

3:14 PM
1100m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st WILD BEAU 💡 Saver
2nd FIELD OF FLUTES
3rd CONVINCEBILITY
4th ARIZONA ACTIVIST ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — ARIZONA ACTIVIST didn't feature
✅ Saver won — WILD BEAU finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
ARIZONA ACTIVIST W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
WILD BEAU P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. ARIZONA ACTIVIST FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.00 $1.26 $3.14
5. WILD BEAU 7 $3.60 $1.75 $4.66
2. FIELD OF FLUTES 2 $7.00 $3.00 $7.23
1. CINQUE TORRI 3 $5.50 $2.45 $7.26
7. CONVINCEBILITY 4 $17.00 $5.25 $12.65
4. FORMS OF FEAR 5 $16.00 $5.25 $14.26
6. FLYING ANNIE 6 $41.00 $8.50 $24.09
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 42% 85% 33*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*
3.50–4.99 33% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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