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GEELONG

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:00 PM R9 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:30 PM
1443m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ICE QUAKE 💡 Saver
2nd XTRA STYLISH
3rd ONLY OPERA
4th NEEDLESTICK
❌ Unplaced — MISSION OF JOY (NZ) didn't feature
✅ Saver won — ICE QUAKE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
MISSION OF JOY (NZ) W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
ICE QUAKE P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. MISSION OF JOY (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.00 $1.09 $3.17
4. ICE QUAKE 1 $5.00 $1.40 $5.79
3. GASOLINE RAINBOW 2 $8.00 $2.05 $7.96
9. TALAVERA (NZ) 5 $9.50 $2.40 $8.92
8. ONLY OPERA 6 $11.00 $2.50 $10.97
5. LYREBIRD LADY 7 $21.00 $3.90 $16.68
10. XTRA STYLISH 9 $16.00 $3.30 $17.35
7. NEEDLESTICK 3 $31.00 $4.75 $23.04
1. CAITLIN'S PUNCH 8 $91.00 $8.50 $46.16
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 43% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 50*
3.50–4.99 21% 58% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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