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ROCKHAMPTON

R1 12:09 PM R2 12:44 PM R3 1:19 PM R4 1:54 PM R5 2:29 PM R6 3:09 PM R7 3:49 PM R8 4:24 PM

Race 3

1:19 PM

1400m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st EL FORTRESS 💡 Saver

2nd INCA TRAIL ⭐ Best Bet

3rd GENERAL WOLFFE

4th OUTWITTED

〰️ Best Bet placed — INCA TRAIL ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — EL FORTRESS finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

INCA TRAIL W $1.90

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

EL FORTRESS P $1.90

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. INCA TRAIL FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.90	$1.07	$3.07
7. EL FORTRESS	2	$7.00	$1.90	$7.60
4. BITOFTHEBLARNEY (NZ)	1	$7.50	$1.95	$8.08
3. OUTWITTED	6	$10.00	$2.30	$9.87
6. SETTAT (NZ)	4	$10.00	$2.35	$10.49
2. MOSTRO	8	$12.00	$2.60	$11.95
8. GENERAL WOLFFE	7	$15.00	$3.20	$12.22
5. BROOKLYN DAISY	5	$19.00	$3.70	$17.46

Favourite record at ROCKHAMPTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	54%	96%	26*
2.00–2.49	59%	91%	22*
2.50–3.49	25%	52%	44*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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