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DARWIN

R1 1:49 PM R2 2:22 PM R3 3:02 PM R4 3:42 PM R5 4:19 PM R6 4:53 PM

Race 1

1:49 PM
1300m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st ANSON BAY 📍 Place Pick
2nd LIMITED RISK
3rd HOTIM ENGLISH 💡 Saver
4th YAKI ISHI
✅ Place bet — won outright — ANSON BAY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — HOTIM ENGLISH ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
ANSON BAY P $1.45
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
HOTIM ENGLISH W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ANSON BAY FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.70 $1.45 $3.80
2. HEBEL 7 $4.00 $2.00 $5.32
6. YOUR NOT THE BOSS 2 $4.00 $2.00 $5.90
4. HOTIM ENGLISH 3 $7.50 $3.20 $7.68
7. YAKI ISHI 1 $11.00 $4.25 $10.20
3. STARZAM 6 $11.00 $4.20 $11.25
5. LIMITED RISK 5 $23.00 $6.50 $16.02
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 43% 86% 35*
2.50–3.49 this race 41% 73% 37*
3.50–4.99 32% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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