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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:25 AM R2 12:00 PM R3 12:40 PM R4 1:15 PM R5 1:50 PM R6 2:25 PM R7 3:05 PM R8 3:45 PM R9 4:20 PM

Race 1

11:25 AM
900m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st SPRIGHTLY AFFAIR
2nd LADY SEGOSHA
3rd YVONNE'S JOY 📍 Place Pick
4th WILDFIRE
✅ Place bet landed — YVONNE'S JOY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
11
YVONNE'S JOY W $2.05·P $1.09
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. YVONNE'S JOY FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.05 $1.09 $3.03
10. WILDFIRE 4 $5.00 $1.40 $5.13
3. LADY SEGOSHA 5 $4.80 $1.38 $6.39
8. SPRIGHTLY AFFAIR 7 $7.50 $1.85 $8.10
4. MRS FLANDERS 8 $9.50 $2.20 $8.53
9. THEANDER 6 $126.00 $9.00 $40.36
1. PIACENTINI 2 $81.00 $7.25 $44.18
7. LADY OF WISDOM 11 $91.00 $7.50 $45.74
6. KRASAKI 3 $201.00 $14.00 $79.87
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 58% 85% 26*
2.00–2.49 this race 38% 85% 39*
2.50–3.49 38% 66% 47*
3.50–4.99 29% 53% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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