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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:25 AM R2 12:00 PM R3 12:40 PM R4 1:15 PM R5 1:50 PM R6 2:25 PM R7 3:05 PM R8 3:45 PM R9 4:20 PM

Race 3

12:40 PM
900m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st MISTY VEIL โญ Best Bet
2nd TSARDEAL ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd GRATIFYING
4th UNJUST
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” MISTY VEIL finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” TSARDEAL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
MISTY VEIL W $1.85
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
2
TSARDEAL P $1.75
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. MISTY VEIL FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.85 $1.07 $2.69
2. TSARDEAL 7 $6.50 $1.75 $8.36
8. GRATIFYING 12 $6.50 $1.75 $8.91
9. SQUADRONS 6 $10.00 $2.40 $10.06
6. UNJUST 8 $14.00 $2.90 $11.09
7. FINAL GIFT 5 $10.00 $2.35 $12.21
12. TIME TO RULE 4 $34.00 $5.00 $21.61
5. MY SWEETHEART 2 $41.00 $5.50 $22.87
1. RAINING LUCK 10 $61.00 $6.50 $28.92
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 58% 85% 26*
2.00โ€“2.49 38% 85% 39*
2.50โ€“3.49 38% 66% 47*
3.50โ€“4.99 29% 53% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.