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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:25 AM R2 12:00 PM R3 12:40 PM R4 1:15 PM R5 1:50 PM R6 2:25 PM R7 3:05 PM R8 3:45 PM R9 4:20 PM

Race 4

1:15 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st LETTERS PATENT
2nd HITCH
3rd SARDAR 💡 Saver
4th LOUD AND CLEAR
❌ Unplaced — FEURON didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — SARDAR ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
FEURON P $1.38
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
SARDAR W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. FEURON TOP RATED 4 $3.80 $1.38 $4.46
1. LETTERS PATENT FAV 11 $3.60 $1.36 $5.28
7. LOUD AND CLEAR 7 $4.80 $1.60 $6.74
9. SARDAR 3 $6.50 $2.00 $7.16
5. HITCH 16 $8.00 $2.35 $9.60
11. KILLA 1 $12.00 $3.10 $12.60
6. KING COMMANDER 6 $20.00 $4.20 $14.72
8. NEVER SAY ASSUME (NZ) 9 $61.00 $7.25 $41.32
15. LEPPITSCH 5 $101.00 $10.00 $43.97
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 58% 85% 26*
2.00–2.49 38% 85% 39*
2.50–3.49 38% 66% 47*
3.50–4.99 this race 29% 53% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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