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NEWCASTLE

R1 11:25 AM R2 12:00 PM R3 12:40 PM R4 1:15 PM R5 1:50 PM R6 2:25 PM R7 3:05 PM R8 3:45 PM R9 4:20 PM

Race 5

1:50 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st ELSTEAD 💡 Saver
2nd SKYSTONE
3rd I'M RELEVANT
4th SOMERFORD
❌ Unplaced — OZZBOURNE didn't feature
✅ Saver won — ELSTEAD finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
OZZBOURNE P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
9
ELSTEAD W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. OZZBOURNE FAV TOP RATED 5 $4.00 $1.55 $5.70
7. SKYSTONE 14 $4.20 $1.60 $5.80
9. ELSTEAD 10 $5.50 $2.00 $6.56
13. TOUCH OF CHARM (NZ) 1 $8.00 $2.50 $9.74
6. I'M RELEVANT 4 $9.50 $2.75 $11.60
15. SOMERFORD 2 $13.00 $3.60 $11.70
5. SOLID HEART 8 $9.00 $2.70 $12.22
2. OCEANIC 3 $21.00 $4.50 $20.27
11. MINKS CRESENDO 7 $31.00 $6.00 $22.47
10. EMIRATE STAR 9 $51.00 $7.25 $34.75
8. ALLNATT 6 $81.00 $9.50 $47.60
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.00) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 58% 85% 26*
2.00–2.49 38% 85% 39*
2.50–3.49 38% 66% 47*
3.50–4.99 this race 29% 53% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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